![]() ![]() For example, in Bangladesh where floods frequently drive people from their homes, recent research shows that these migrants do not drive urban unrest. Similarly, although a link between climate-related migration and the outbreak of violence is commonly assumed, there is so far inconclusive evidence to support such a link, even where we might expect it most. Over and over again research has failed to detect a clear relationship between the outbreak of large-scale violence and climate-related disasters such as floods, storms, and droughts. Let’s start with some good news: overall, climate change does not appear to be an important cause of armed conflict. Simultaneously, the world has seen an increase in armed conflicts to numbers not witnessed since the early 1990s.ĭo these parallel trends mean that global warming has contributed to the increase in conflicts? The academic research on climate change and security, which has greatly expanded over the past decade, shows that there is no simple answer to this question. ![]() Observed global ice loss now seems in line with worst-case climate scenarios. Indeed, 2020 earned the dubious distinction of tying with 2016 as the hottest year on record, and the 2010s were the warmest decade. This perspective also aligns with the initiatives of other countries that have pushed climate security in the UN Security Council and other international bodies. In line with years of thinking within the defense sector, the Biden-Harris team refers to climate change as a “ threat multiplier,” pointing to risks of regional instability and resource competition driven by worsening environmental conditions. While former US President Donald Trump frequently denied man-made climate change, the Biden administration has pledged to make climate change a priority, including for national security. Guest post by Nina von Uexkull and Halvard Buhaug
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |